Sunday, October 8, 2023

Hamas Goes Tet

Along with anybody civilized, I have been horrified by the video and photos coming out of Israel in the wake of the Hamas attacks. Hamas. an Iranian proxy, have gone all in trying to sow terror, showing no regard for noncombatants, be they elderly, children, women, Israeli or foreign. 

They apparently have kidnapped and killed foreign tourists attending some goofy peace concert, dragging them back to Gaza and parading them naked through the streets. No animal does this; only human scum of the sort that belongs on death row.

Hamas, in my view, have adopted a Tet Offensive strategy. 

Before you jump on me, let me say that no historical analogy is perfect, but this one seems pretty close.  Hanoi, you will remember, convinced the Viet Cong (VC) into launching a frontal attack on US and ARVN forces across South Vietnam on a holiday, taking over cities such as the old imperial capital of Hue, terrorizing pro-Saigon officials, and, most important, getting lots of media attention, e.g., attacking the US Embassy in Saigon. If you read subsequent accounts by VC leaders they argued against this strategy noting that the VC would get annihilated, but they went ahead. Well, it all went per Hanoi's plan: the VC caught the US and ARVN forces off-guard, terrorized the populace, temporarily seized (with NVA help) Hue, attacked the Embassy, etc. The media reporting, of course, helped foment the belief that the VC were some sort of invincible force, blah, blah, and blah. Once the US and ARVN got their act together, the predictions of the VC leadership came true: the Viet Cong got annihilated, and never again was a significant military force. It was now Hanoi clearly in charge.

Hamas has launched, on a holiday, a major attack on Israel, including attacking military bases, catching the Israelis asleep at the switch.. They are getting their fifteen minutes in the media; they inevitably will get themselves killed by the Israeli counterattack. What will be left of Hamas will be purely an Iranian puppet, however, they will have reminded the world, as was done fifty years ago in another Yom Kippur War, that the Israeli intel and military are not invulnerable and all-seeing. Netanyahu might not survive the following political fall out in Israel. 

Iran will have its main terrorist sock puppet left, Hizbollah, which after all is Shia and much more compliant to Tehran, and it will have destroyed the peace talks between Israel and Saudi Arabia.

I think there can be no doubt that Iran has been emboldened in promoting this massive attack by the weakness of the West, especially the USA under its current "leadership." The US, aside from resuming funding for "Palestine," seems interested in placating Iran, allowing the once starving regime to resume oil sales on the world market, returning frozen assets, and generally ignoring Iran's drive for a nuclear weapon capability. In addition, the chaos on the streets and borders of Europe and the US, have convinced the Mullahs that this is the time to strike.

Don't be surprised if we see similar terror on the streets of Europe and America.

45 comments:

  1. It's my hope that the exposure of the Rob Malley Iranian spy ring within the top echelons of the Obama and Biden administrations will lead to a reformed Iran policy (both sides of the aisle, with democrats trying to wipe the egg off their face and GOP being emboldened with realizing that there actually was a reason JCPOA and other efforts stank so badly.) It's just a hope, I know there's tremendous dysfunction, so it's not an expectation.
    This might be Iran's last resort attack, knowing that their future largess from democrat administrations is going to be severely constrained.
    I'm not sure why Israel isn't launching strikes on Iran already.
    Why do we expect Israel to do nothing as its enemies pile up weapons and soldiers on its border while chanting 'death to Israel'? What our solution? "Hey, we'll coordinate on Iron Dome... that way your infantile enemies can throw their tantrums by attacking you without causing damage."
    What kind of policy is that? It's not.. it's insanity... basically "We're just going to wait until our gifts to Iran have gotten to the point where they can use our technology to defeat the shield."

    China is *totally* part of this. Iran doesn't survive without China. Iran doesn't produce any significant electronics domestically. It's all patented US designs produced 'on the night shift' in China, and sent to Iran for assembly and shipment to Syria, HAMAS, and now Russia. Taking Iran out of this cycle would force China to either enter in open hostility or to take a 5-10 year hit as they stand up another puppet.

    - reader #1482

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    1. This is also convoluted and messy because HAMAS, Saudi Arabia and Iran will be enemies of the US and Israel forever, while the PRC is one revolution away from becoming a sane trading partner. Hamas, by charter, can never accept Israel as a country. China, on the other hand, is pulling these strings for personal benefits of party members. There's no permanent cultural conflict with China that will outlive the PRC, as evidenced by a very similar demographic in Taiwan that has actually become *too* liberal in an apparent attempt to ingratiate itself with the US for security purposes.

      That said, Israel must respond very cautiously, because Hamas has chosen this timing, and whenever an enemy chooses the timing of a conflict, one must be wary of surprises laying in wait.

      - reader #1482

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    2. I am sure that the timing had these factors involved.
      The gift of 6 billion to Iran. Freeing up other funding for weapons and logistics. The change of military leadership in the U.S. The ongoing puppet government of the Obama administration.

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    3. China is one "revolution" away from demographic collapse and truly epic starvation.

      All their own work.

      What is cooking on the "Alt-China" fromt?

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  2. Hopefully the Israelis will cleanse the area of Hamas, once and for all!

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  3. This attack is very much on Obama's head, and by a combination of idiocy and complicity, on Biden's head. They are beneath contempt.

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  4. What happened to Mossad where were they?

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    1. Some Israeli government agencies seem to emulate the FBI and CIA, going after Netanyahu rather than Israel's enemies.
      ~ Doctor Weasel

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  5. Who will be today's Walter Cronkite? "Abandon hope all"

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  6. The "Palestinians" have openly invaded a sovereign Nation and attacked that country's military and civilian population engaging in acts of barbarity that preclude them from any consideration of legitimacy and leniency on the part of the West and Israel in particular.

    The appropriate response is the destruction of HAMAS and the reoccupation of the West Bank by Israel with the unqualified support of the West.

    Anything less only ensures that at some future stage the terrorists will do it again.

    Time for a dose of Hosea 8:7 - As you sow the wind so shall you reap the whirlwind.

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    1. Did parts of this incursion come from the west bank? I thought Fatah still ran the west bank while hamas ran gaza?
      Last I remember, they were both indistinguishable from mafia clans and commonly at war with each other.
      It's still insane that Israel has been expected to not defend itself for decades.

      - reader #1482

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    2. Good morning David. We have seen cheering crowds of pro-Hamas people in North America and Europe too. In Oz as well? How deep evil has penetrated western culture.

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  7. I remember TET. It was the end of the VC as a viable force outside of Hanoi's chain of command. With the relative quiet of Hezbollah, your theory against in credence.

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  8. I have heard this didn't catch Mossad unaware, but they let it happen knowing the result. I don't know, but the Israelis are human and can err.

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  9. I was in the USAF as a subject mater expert on a system that was being installed in Israel. I had a 20 year old IDF handler anytime I was outside my hotel room. She was drop dead gorgeous and armed to the max. Massad is better than any US 3-letter organization on intel. This attack was anticipated as they usually gear up for any anniversary 0f past attacks. The attacks do not pass the smell test. Something is off here.

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    1. Mossad has gone downhill ever since the generation that moved to Israel from the Arab countries got old and died off.

      Kepha

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  10. paul vincent zecchinoOctober 8, 2023 at 10:32 PM

    paul vincent zecchino

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  11. Thank you for your long valued counsel, Dip. Your concluding sentence serves as fair notice to all, despite the bleatings of The Giddy who dismiss such concerns as 'conspiracy theories.'

    Friends in the legit agencies, now retired, long ago warned of mid-east malevolent thugs crossing the border into America with impunity.


    What they do over there, they eventually do here.


    "One thing I've learned, move calmly, move cautiously, you'll never be sorry."
    - Joel Weinstock (Harold Gary)
    'indictment dismissed for lack of proper evidence...'
    "The French Connection", c. 1971

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  12. paul vincent ZecchinoOctober 8, 2023 at 10:36 PM

    My comment above re 'move calmly, move cautiously', is unsigned due to computer acting up. Now it is. Paul Vincent Zecchino

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  13. I wonder if you believe the intelligence services (in America and Israel) let down their responsibility because so many leftists have entered in. Some months ago I read this about the Israel intelligence service and I wondered then if an attack would be missed by these folks.
    B Gunn
    E Texas Rancher

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  14. The international left has been undermining and overthrowing western nations for a long time.

    They've begun the final push to topple the weakened structures of Western Civilization.

    The final game is on.

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    1. These leftist people don't reproduce, they only recruit. While that's generally good news, the downside is a recruit is basically a '+2' because for every recruit from the good side to the bad side, we lose one and they gain one... so '+2' to 'them'.
      If parents keep their kids out of the stupid lefty crap schools, the problem with solve itself. GWB takes some blame here for his 'no-child-left-behind' fiasco where he gifted a monopoly over appointing teachers to the teachers union in exchange for test-score requirements that Obama subsequently canned. That was a foolish move on GWB's part. He shoud've known the continual expansion of government cannot serve the purposes of other than lefty corruption.

      - reader #1482

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  15. Just DIE. GO AWAY!

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  16. Hamas was ordered to provoke a response that would tie up Israeli resources for months, likely resulting in the destruction of Hamas, and leaving a humanitarian catastrophe in Gaza. Why?

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    1. 1) prevent rapprochement efforts between Saudi Arabia and Israel
      2) convince Israel to avoid assisting Ukraine
      3) Khamenei showing internal allies that even though he's taken $6b of US money, it hasn't 'affected' him.
      4) Move the spot light away from Rob Malley and the Obama/Biden/Kerry/Iran spy ring.
      5) because unlike Russia, China, or most competitor-enemies of the US, HAMAS/al-qaeda/taliban are religiously-permanent enemies. they will lose thousands and their ranks will be similarly thinned out... but they will raise a new generation among the muslim brotherhood ilk and instill those views that hew so closely to leftism (love humanity, hate all people)... except.... except.. the religious underpinnings.. the sacred texts... guaranty no peace with these groups.
      Long after China and Russia will have ceased to be a threat, hamas and their ilk will still be dedicated to the victimization of innocents because those innocents are deemed to be of the 'house of war'. Seriously.. I couldn't have made anything up that ridiculous.

      - reader #1482

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    2. 6) like any organized crime syndicate, ISIS has upped the game on cruel butchery, and hamas has no choice but to respond or get pushed out as second-rate gangsters.

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  17. This may be found to be on point:

    https://tomkratman.substack.com/p/dear-israel

    Yes, it's a freebie.

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  18. Seen today: “we are going to change the Middle East,” Netanyahu told officials...

    That cover a lot of eventualities not all of which might be equally palatable to Mr N.

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  19. Hmmm...that reminds me; one would not expect the Israelis to forget something like this but after not predicting the Hamas attack I've got to wonder; have they forgotten that Hezbollah is still waiting in the north. One hopes, but does not trust, that they've put a couple-three mech brigades facing Lebanon.

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  20. JCPOA.. and billions-a-hostage brought us this. "What was the purpose of HAMAS' timing?" "To not launch before Biden handed over the cash."

    - reader #1482

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  21. Seeing the numerous comments concerning "intelligence failures" I would humbly offer my two cents - carrying on from a line of thought I picked up from Colonel Lang US Army, DIA (deceased).

    Following from our adoption of primary dependence on SIGINT as opposed to the, albeit "old fashioned" (but tried and true) HUMINT we - and our allies have set ourselves up for these types of failures. If intel failures this latest iteration be.

    JK

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    1. My earlier assessment stands. *We are overly reliant on SIGINT.

      https://turcopolier.com/an-intelligence-and-or-operational-failure/

      * US and our allies.

      JK

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  22. The US should only be kinetically involved in this war once. So far 22 Americans are known to be dead from the Hamas attack. Before the Israelis go into Gaza on the ground, the US should launch 44 B-52 Vietnam style bomber strikes on targets recommended by Israel.

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  23. In 1973 my husband was at Ft Knox Armored School as a Captain just home from Nam. We had a one year old with us. I remember when the 6 day war broke out and my husband came home from class saying a classmate, a Col Katz, had to leave to go home and fight the war. In about 3 months he returned, a war hero in Israel and came into class with several hundred Armored Officers giving him a standing ovation.
    When this war started with the abomination of killing and kidnapping the remembrance came back of that time so many years ago.
    You know we live on a ranch. I'd never allow a nest of snakes to live under my porch here on the ranch. They would be a source of worry for my guests and family who come to visit. I'd kill those snakes and be sure they were all gone, so the threat was eliminated. This is what Israel must do now. They must eliminate the snakes...and here we better be mindful we are next on the list....
    Bev Gunn
    E Texas Rancher

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  24. Beautifully stated Bev

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  25. I wonder how much of Hamas' motivation was due to a drop in funding for Gaza from European donor nations? The Ukrainian war has seen EU state budgets being stretched to the max, with outright donations and a new commitments to 2% of GDP for defense spending.

    The writing was on the wall for the Palestinians. They had to do something spectacular to get attention away from Ukraine. The flow of millions and billions had to return to Gaza and the West Bank, even at the cost of thousands of Palestinian lives, whose martyrdom Hamas would find perfectly reasonable.

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  26. I'm concerned that this is a 'larger pattern' from the PRC-Iran-Russia 'axis'. That now that they don't have a massive installation of US air power sitting right between the three countries in their back yards at Bagram, they're each going to pick off a target of their choosing: Russia - Ukraine, Iran - Israel, and up next.. China.... Taiwan. Because China will presume the west will exhaust its logistical and manufacturing capabilities on Ukraine and Israel.
    I hope that's wrong. I hope there are adults in our government paying attention.

    - reader #1482

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  27. Iran warns or actions that would preempt an israeli ground assault on hamas positions in gaza.
    "We don't control hizb'allah or hamas.. but if you're going to attack, we're going to tell them to attack you first.... except.. we don't control them of course... so they're just going to listen and then do what we tell them to... but we're not controlling them.. just to be clear."

    no doubt.. biden will swallow it... there's nothing the iranians have wanted that he and obama and kerry weren't willing to provide.
    obama wrote love notes to khamenei in full supplication.

    - reader #1482

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    1. ..."obama wrote love notes to khamenei in full supplication."

      Well don't be to hard on the lil sucker,
      afterall BO lost his Chief Chef
      in a helluva SueNommy over at
      Martha's place behind her
      favorite Bush, in the
      entire Vinyard~~~
      OW~~~
      mebe the local"Pay@home
      contingent will send BHO
      19$ US dollars, or more
      this month from home?

      "Let's Roll"

      Delete
  28. https://pislamonauseacentral.tumblr.com/post/731962089420226560/open-video-thread-1411

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    1. Thanks for the Link Anon! Plus, a
      Hand Salute 'fore&aft' to USN SEALs~~~
      w/both Thumbs-up to MrBellen~~~
      for taking the time to share
      his witness to actions and
      heroic dedicated deeds
      in service to oppressed
      innocents in harms way~~~
      God Bless~~~
      On Watch~~~

      "Let's Roll"

      Delete
  29. We're getting close to handling things the same way the PLA did in China in the cultural revolution.

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  30. Great and I have a keen give: How Long Renovate House home exterior renovation contractors

    ReplyDelete