I admit that I am a political junkie. I spent hours watching the GOP--and will do the same with the Democratic one next week.
It was one of the best conventions I have ever seen, despite Isaac and despite some pretty lame media coverage of it (MSNBC was beyond disgusting). The array of new GOP faces is genuinely awesome; the Democrats have nothing to compare with Mia Love, Paul Ryan, Marco Rubio, Condi Rice, Susana Martinez, Ted Cruz, Allan West, Chris Christie, Nikki Haley, or Clint Eastwood. And, of course, they don't have Mitt Romney. They've got Joe Biden, Harry Reid, Nancy Pelosi, Sandra Fluke, Rahm Emmanuel, Barney Frank, Elizabeth "High Cheekbones" Warren, Debbie Wasserman-Schultz, and Clint Eastwood's empty chair. No contest.
It is not just a people issue, it is a message issue. The GOP managed to lay out an optimistic and clear vision of support for freedom, success, and the basic values of this country. The Dems? We will see, but judging from their campaign so far, it will be about bashing the rich, getting free contraception and abortion, and more government programs. It, in other words, will be trying to put some sort of a shine on the failed politics of the past.
Mitt Romney's speech had the right tone, delivery, and substance, and made the point that the President of the United States should work for the United States. The President is not the Citizen of the World out to heal the planet while making America look like Greece. I think it was an effective appeal to those who got caught up in Obamania in 2008 and now are waking up with an empty wallet, a splitting headache, and deep regret for the past four years.
Prediction: Romney will win this election.
In response to your prediction, this is the first moment I have believed that you just might have it right. Of course there is still time for one side or the other to shoot itself in the foot, but about now I'm more willing to bet the Obama campaign machine is more liable to do that than Romney's. Just to begin with, there are fewer employees on Romney's campaign staff, so fewer people to make a dumb comment. And then they have Biden. . .
ReplyDeleteAs for the convention, I watched the last night from beginning to end. Before that I only saw a few speeches. Ryan was great. Rubio was better! Romney, well he was better than I had expected, and he has certainly heard the call from party stalwarts to come out swinging. But the delivery, though entirely presidential, was not up to Obama's level. That's where he has to get.
I too think Romney will win. I guess it all comes down to 6 states, including Nevada, where I live. After watching the way Reid stole the election 2 years ago (and I say "stole" with full conviction) I don't think Romney will get these 5 electoral votes.
My guy feel right now has Romney hitting %53, collecting 305-317 EVs...enough to claim his own mandate. The House runs +- 5 seats from where they are at now, but the Republicans maintain control. The Senate is a whole different animal. At first I was looking at a change over with Republicans get 53-54 seats. With the Akin fiasco I now see a 50-50 or 49-51 in either direction. If the Democrats hold the Senate they will do exactly nothing for the next 2 years...and I doubt Romney would pull the same unConstitutional shinanegans that the Obama Administration has been doing.
ReplyDelete...On the other hand there is that episode of Mythbusters where they managed to polish a turd.
ReplyDeleteDon't know if this means anything.....
ReplyDeletehttp://hillbuzz.org/the-obamas-already-preparing-for-move-to-hawaii-in-january-2013-hyde-park-neighbors-talking-about-chicago-house-being-sold-soon-63935